Monday, March 24, 2014

30 Home Runs and 50 Steals - Eric Davis vs. Barry Bonds

Greg Luzinski only missed this exclusive
club by 42 stolen bases in 1978.
In this day and age of baseball, what home run number would you be happy with seeing from your team leader in home runs?  I think most baseball fans would have set that bar at 40+ a decade ago, but in today’s environment, I think I’d be happy with 30.  Maybe not necessarily the team leader, but if I had a couple of guys on the team with 30 home runs, I’d be happy.  Only two of my National League Champion St. Louis Cardinals had over 20 last year.  Wow, only 14 players hit 30 home runs last year.  But I’m going to stick with 30, because it fits the narrative for this blog post.  Bear with me here.

Let’s pose the same question for stolen bases.  What number would you be happy with seeing from your team leader in stolen bases?  I think that I’d be happy with 30, although with my Cardinals, I would probably have to set the bar quite a bit lower.  I grew up watching Rickey Henderson, Vince Coleman, Kenny Lofton, Marquis Grissom, etc.  Those guys were all fun to watch.  It seems like every year, there was a ton of guys stealing 50 bases.  That just doesn’t happen anymore.

Standard MLB transportation
circa 1988.
While I’m guessing that the move away from Astroturf fields probably affected that slightly, the increased power from the mid-1990’s to the mid 2000’s probably had more to do with it.  Why risk the out when the next guy up is just going to hit a dinger?  The last time we had five guys steal more than 50 bases in a season was 2007.  Before that, it was 1998.  And in doing the research, among the league leaders anyway, you can see where the stolen base certainly isn’t as prevalent nowadays, but it hasn’t fallen off like home run totals have.  But 50 stolen bases also fits the narrative for this post, so let’s stick with that.

In major league history, there have been 1205 player seasons of 30 or more home runs in a season.  There have been 481 player seasons of 50 or more stolen bases in major league history.  There have been TWO instances where a player has done both in the same season – Eric Davis in 1987, and Barry Bonds in 1990.  Sorry 2012 Mike Trout, you missed this exclusive club by one stolen base.

Ha, I almost had to change this.  I was looking at Hall of Famer Eddie Collins’ stats page, and it showed that in 1926, at the age of 39, he hit 32 home runs and stole 65 bases.  What?  Then I noticed he only had one RBI.  Oops.  Someone has the numbers shifted over one column.  Anyway, back to Davis and Bonds.


G
AB
R
H
2B
3B
HR
RBI

'87 Davis
129
474
120
139
23
4
37
100

'90 Bonds
151
519
104
156
32
3
33
114


SB
CS
BB
SO
AVG
OBP
SLG
OPS
WAR
'87 Davis
50
6
84
134
.293
.399
.593
.991
7.9
'90 Bonds
52
13
93
83
.301
.406
.565
.970
9.7

Those numbers are just tremendous for both players, but note that Davis did it in just 129 games in 1987.  Let’s examine each month that year and see how they came about these numbers.

APRIL

You could say Davis’ April in 1987 started off good.  In the opening two game series against the Expos, he went four for six with a home run, two RBIs, FIVE runs scored, three walks (including one intentional), and three stolen bases.  For the entire month, in 20 games he would hit .364 with five doubles, a triple, seven home runs, 16 RBIs, 20 runs, 10 walks and 19 strikeouts.  He had nine stolen bases vs. two caught stealing.

Bonds was solid if unspectacular in April 1990.  In the first nine games of the season, the Pirates were 4-5, and Bonds was only hitting .200 with no home runs.  Even through April 26th, he was still hitting .208.  Then the Pirates visited San Diego to finish up the month.  Bonds went 9-12 with three home runs, six RBIs, seven runs scored and two stolen bases.  His average jumped from .208 to .317, and he finished the month with four doubles, a triple, four home runs, 13 RBIs, 14 runs, eight walks and 10 strikeouts.  He had six stolen bases vs. one caught stealing.  The Pirates finished the month with a nine game winning streak to move to 13-5.

MAY

Davis must have really liked playing in the first series of the month.  On May 1st, he went three for four with two home runs and five RBIs and an intentional walk.  Two days later in the finale of the three game series with the Phillies, he went four for five with THREE home runs and six RBIs.  He scored four runs and stole a base for good measure.  Two home runs in that series were grand slams.  He’d add another one on May 30th.  The three grand slams in a month was at the time an NL record.  He’s still tied for first with Carlos Beltran and Mike Piazza.  For the month, in 22 games he would hit .329 with six doubles, 12 home runs, 36 RBIs, 23 runs, 11 walks and 21 strikeouts.  He stole 11 bases without being caught once.

Bonds’ May that year was pretty similar to his April.  He had a really good game here and there, but for the most part, he just kept plugging away at it.  He finished the month hitting .307 with seven doubles, a triple, six home runs, 24 RBIs, 19 runs, 14 walks and eight strikeouts.  He stole eight bases vs. one caught stealing.

JUNE

June of ’87 saw the Reds play their first 13 games at home.  Maybe he had some sort of home improvement disaster or was being bullied by the neighbor kid or something, but he only hit .122 in those games.  He still stole eight bases, but only had one home run.  The rest of the month though, he hit .400 in nine road games.  For the month overall, in 22 games he hit .250 with three doubles, a triple, four home runs, 11 RBIs, 23 runs, 18 walks and 22 strikeouts.  He stole 13 bases and was only caught once.  For the first three months of the season, in 64 games he’d have 23 home runs and 33 stolen bases.  He also had 63 RBIs and 66 runs.

Bonds turned it up a notch in June ’90.  In a nine game stretch from June 11th through June 24th, he went 20-39 for a .556 average with three home runs.  Overall that month, he hit .369 with nine doubles, a triple, three home runs, 16 RBIs, 17 runs, 11 walks and 10 strikeouts.  He had a down month on the basepaths with seven stolen bases but five caught stealing.  Halfway through the season, in 65 games he'd have 13 home runs and 21 stolen bases.  If he were to reach Davis' numbers, he'd have to have a strong second half.

JULY

July saw the batting average return for Davis, but his other numbers weren’t off the charts.  For the month, in 24 games he hit .348 with five doubles, two triples, six home runs, 17 RBIs, 24 runs, 14 walks and 27 strikeouts.  He only had four stolen bases without being caught.

In July, Bonds had another typical month.  In 26 games he hit .326 with four doubles, five home runs, 22 RBIs, 18 runs, 22 walks and 13 strikeouts.  He had a much better month on the basepaths with 14 steals without being caught.  Ten of those stolen bases came in just four games.  On July 16th and 17th, he’d get the Giants’ Terry Kennedy and Bill Bathe for two steals.  On July 22nd, he’d get the Dodgers’ Mike Scioscia for three bases, and then did the same two days later to the Expos’ Mike Fitzgerald. 

AUGUST

By August, Davis was likely wearing down a bit, and playing in 29 games in 31 days (including a west coast trip that featured two double headers with eight games in six days) certainly would do it.  For the month, in those 29 games he would hit .250 with four doubles, six home runs, 15 RBIs, 20 runs, 19 walks and 30 strikeouts.  He had 11 stolen bases and was a caught stealing twice.  Like Bonds in July, he got those stolen bases in bunches.  In those 29 games, he only stole bases in five of them.  He had one game with one stolen base, two games with two steals and two games with three steals.  Catchers that fell victim to his three steals were the Pirates’ Junior Ortiz and the Cubs Jody Davis.

August wasn’t too kind to Bonds either, or at least his batting average.  For the month, he played in 30 games, including two double headers with six games in four days.  He would hit .248 with five doubles, seven home runs, 22 RBIs, 21 runs, 20 walks and 17 strikeouts.  That RBI total was bolstered by a couple of five RBI games he had on August 6th and August 29th.  He had eight stolen bases vs. two caught stealing.  Four of those steals came on the same day, in a double header vs. the Reds on August 17th.  Bonds would get starting catcher Jeff Reed for two in the opener, and he’d steal second AND third base off of Reed when he came in as a replacement in the 9th inning.  And then Bonds was thrown out at home off of a Jeff King sacrifice fly to center by…Eric Davis.

SEPTEMBER

Davis only played 12 games in September ’87.  With nagging injuries, he limped home (probably literally), hitting .163 with two home runs, five RBIs, 10 runs, 12 walks and 15 strikeouts.  He only stole two bases and was caught once.  The Reds would finish 84-78, six games behind the San Francisco Giants, who would go on to lose the NLCS to the St. Louis Cardinals, who in turn would lose the World Series to the Minnesota Twins in seven games.

Bonds’ September was a lot closer to his August than the other months that season.  He had two games with two home runs, but by this point, the Pirates were pretty much cruising to the playoffs.  Bonds would finish the month hitting .260 with three doubles, eight home runs, 17 RBIs, 15 runs, 18 walks and 15 strikeouts in 30 games (including the one game on October 3rd).  He’d steal nine bases and be caught four times.  The Pirates would finish in first place at 95-67, four games ahead the Mets.  They would go on to lose to Davis’ Reds as Cincinnati would go on to sweep the A’s in the World Series.

Davis would finish the 1987 season with a ninth place finish in the MVP voting between Tony Gwynn and Howard Johnson, but well below winner Andre Dawson.  He was an All Star, a Gold Glove winner and a Silver Slugger.

Bonds would finish the 1990 season as the National League MVP, with teammate Bobby Bonilla, Darryl Strawberry, Ryne Sandberg and Eddie Murray rounding out the top five.  He also was an All Star, a Gold Glove winner and a Silver Slugger.


So, hypothetically, if these two players had these same numbers in the same season, who would be the MVP?  I’m guessing the nod would still go to Bonds if because of nothing else, games played.  But 1987, the baseball was juiced, so it was a different environment than 1990.  Instead, let’s just sit back and have a chuckle at this thought – what if we could have had an outfield of 1990 Bonilla in right, 1987 Davis in center, and 1990 Bonds in left?  By 1990 though, Davis was already somewhat declining, so instead, you got Lenny Dykstra in the All Star game that year.  And we all know about Bonds’ and Dykstra’s criminal activities.  At least the only thing that Bonilla ever did was rob the Mets.




No comments:

Post a Comment