Tuesday, March 18, 2014

Quick Hits - Jim Abbott

This wasn’t going to originally be my next post, but since I haven’t gotten a proper lunch the past couple of days, and thus not much time to work on the blog, I thought I’d give you a short version today of something that I came across.

Remember when Jim Abbott first pitched?  You thought, “How can this guy pitch in the majors?  He only has one hand!  I have two hands, and I can’t even (insert limitation here)”.  I always remember Jim Abbott being a pretty good pitcher.  I know he was on some bad teams, so his record obviously didn’t match his talent, but he was overcoming the odds, so he must be good.

It's a good thing he doesn't
have a Hall of Fame vote.
The fact is, when you go back and look at his numbers, I think only John Conlee would be able to call him above average.  Now, don’t get me wrong.  His 1991 season saw him finish third in the Cy Young Award voting.  It was clearly his best season as he went 18-11 with 158 strikeouts vs. 73 walks and a 2.89 ERA.  Still, in his best season, he could only muster a 1.214 WHIP, with 222 hits allowed in addition to those walks in 243 innings pitched.

His 1992 season wasn’t too bad either, but he went 7-15.  His ERA did fall to 2.77 but his WHIP went up to 1.308.  1991 and 1992 were the only two seasons of his career where he averaged less than a hit per inning.

In contrast, his 1996 season saw him go 2-18.  Yeesh.  In his defense, the only other pitchers with more than 15 starts that year that had a positive win-loss record were Shawn Boskie (12-11) and Mark Langston (5-6).  His ERA that year was 7.48, his WHIP was 1.754, and he gave up 171 hits in 142 innings.  He had 78 strikeouts vs. 58 walks.

But let’s remember the two best things about Jim Abbott.  One you know about, and the other, you probably don’t.

On September 4th, 1993, sandwiched in between a couple of no decisions where he would give up 11 runs in 10 2/3 innings, Jim Abbott threw a no hitter for the New York Yankees against the Cleveland Indians.  No where near perfect with five walks against three strikeouts, but a no hitter is a no hitter.

I remember when that happened.  But what I didn’t remember when I look at that box score is the lineup for the Indians that day.  It featured Kenny Lofton, Carlos
No hit THIS!!!
Baerga, Albert Belle, Manny Ramirez, and Jim Thome.  That’s pretty impressive.  So let’s tip our cap to Abbott for that.

Oh, you were wondering about that other thing that Jim Abbott did?

After his disastrous 1996 season, Abbott took a year off.  He signed with the White Sox for the 1998 season, and after spending most of the year in the minors, he came up in September and went 5-0 for the Sox in five starts.  His peripherals were not good, but hey, he’s 5-0!  If the baseball writers would have known about this, they more than likely would have given him a little bit of Cy Young Award love.

He parlayed that short season into a 1999 contract with the Milwaukee Brewers.  This would his only season of his career in the National League, meaning he would have to bat.

That went about as well as you’d think it would.  He went 2 for 21 that season.  But he OWNED the Cubs’ Jon Lieber.  He hit like Ted Willams against him as a matter of fact.  On the season, he went 2 for 5 vs. Lieber with three RBIs.  None of those RBIs helped though, as he lost both games.  On July 21st, he would pitch the last game of his major league career.

I think that it would be best to just look back through the fog of the years and remember the cooler, better version of Jim Abbott.  And remember, even with one hand, he is still a better baseball player than you and I will ever be.  He inspired quite a few people, and continues to do that, even to this day.

Monday, March 17, 2014

What If? Saving Bonds



In 2001, Barry Bonds set the all time home run record with 73 home runs.  I actually am a fan of Barry Bonds, say, pre-1998.  I think that you can separate that player from 1999 and on Bonds and still respect the game.

As a matter of fact, if you look at what he did from 1987 to 1998, he would at minimum be one of those on-the-fence Hall of Fame candidates.  In those years, he hit .294 with 395 home runs, 1168 RBIs, 1292 walks, and 409 stolen bases.  Throw in eight All Star appearances, three MVP awards, eight Gold Gloves and seven Silver Slugger awards, combined with his 99.6 WAR, he probably would have made it in after about four or five times on the ballot.

We’ll actually get into Bonds’ earlier years in the next blog post (spoiler alert – it’s a comparison blog with something he and only one other player has ever done!).  But for now, we’re going to look at his record breaking season of 2001.
 
TRIVIA QUESTION!

Which player has more home runs between his highest home run season and second highest home run season – Brady Anderson or Barry Bonds?  The answer will come a little later.

Coming into the 2001 season, was there anything that would indicate that Bonds was about to break the record?  I would say yes and no.  For nine years prior, he had 30+ home runs and an OPS over 1.000.  But he wasn’t really ever close to the record before.  As a matter of fact, his second highest home run season is tied for 44th all time.

One other thing we must remember is that Barry Bonds was an ass.  There’s not really a better way to say it.  Some would probably state it worse actually.  It’s a pretty universally known fact.  So for today’s episode of What If?, we’re going to look at the scenario where Bonds only wanted to do the bare minimum.  I think that’s a pretty realistic scenario, don’t you?

This scenario will revolve around the premise that Bonds only wanted to accumulate the bare minimum plate appearances on the year to qualify for the batting title.  This would help Bonds save his body and prolong his career.  This was both a pretty time consuming and fun little exercise, as I had to literally comb through every one of his plate appearances that year. 

We’ll look and see what real Bonds and bare minimum Bonds did each month of that season.  We’ll assume that fake Bonds was in close contact with his agent, and he would let him know exactly where he stood as far as being on pace to get the needed at bats.  He’d still get his regular rest – in both instances, he only played in 153 games.  Once he hit his “on pace” target, he was taken out of the game.  Hang on, here we go!

April of that year got off to a slow start for real Bonds.  He did homer in his first game, but after his first seven games, that’s all he had, and was only batting .103 with one RBI and two walks vs. six strikeouts.  Over the next 15 games through the end of April, he did turn it up.  He hit .326 with 10 home runs and 21 RBIs, including three games with two home runs.  Overall, he batted .240 with 11 home runs and 22 RBIs.  Of his 13 walks, 3 were intentional.

Fake Bonds only hit .200 over the entire month of April, with seven home runs and 16 RBIs.  He’d add two stolen bases and three doubles, but only walked 10 times with 14 strikeouts.  Three of those walks were also intentional.  So far, fake Bonds is four home runs behind real Bonds.

In May, real Bonds LIT IT UP.  He hit 17 home runs, including nine from May 17-22.  He had two-two home run games, and one three home run game.  Over the course of the month, along with those homers, he hit .369 with 30 RBIs, 31 walks (five intentional) vs. 24 strikeouts and threw in three stolen bases.

Fake Bonds actually did a little better, hitting .371, and his slugging % was a little higher too at 1.065 vs. the 1.036 that real Bonds had.  But fake Bonds would again hit four fewer home runs, finishing with 13 home runs, 23 home runs, and 26 walks (four intentional) vs. 20 strikeouts.  Fake Bonds only had one stolen base.  So at this point, he was a full eight homers behind Real Bonds.

June proved to be a little more realistic for real Bonds.  He hit .297 with 11 home runs and 19 RBIs.  Pitchers started to be more careful though, as his walks jumped up to 34, with nine intentional, vs. just 15 strikeouts.  He only had one-two home run game.  He’d also add one stolen base.  As of June 29th, Real Bonds sat at 39 home runs on the season.  He already had 78 walks, with 17 intentional.  And it wasn’t even the All Star break.

Again, fake Bonds hit slightly better in June, hitting .304 with eight home runs and 14 RBIs.  He had 22 walks, with six intentional, and just nine strikeouts.  Still, Fake Bonds only had 28 home runs at the break, and just 58 walks with 13 intentional.

In July, real Bonds was just taking what he was given.  He would hit .302, but he only had six home runs with 15 RBIs.  He actually only homered in four games, as he had two games with two home runs.  He had 30 walks with five intentional and only 11 strikeouts.  He’d also throw in two stolen bases.

Fake Bonds had and outstanding month, hitting .354 with six home runs and 15 RBIs.  He would have 23 walks (two intentional) vs. just four strikeouts.  He would also add a stolen base.  Four months into the season, real Bonds sat at 45 home runs vs. just 34 for fake Bonds.

August would see real Bonds return more to form.  He hit for a .350 average with 12 home runs and 26 RBIs.  Only one of his games that month was a two home run game.  He was walked 31 times, with five intentional, and had 17 strikeouts.  He had another three stolen bases.  He even threw in a triple for good measure.

Fake Bonds actually hit a little worse, but only slightly.  He still hit for a .344 average, but only had eight home runs and 16 RBIs.  He had 24 walks with three intentional, and had 13 strikeouts.  He also had three stolen bases and the triple.

Then came September 2001.  On September 9th, the Giants wrapped up a three game series in Colorado in a 9-4 win with Bonds going 3-5 with three home runs and five RBIs.  The Giants would not play again for nine days due to the September 11th attacks.  Despite playing in only 21 games that month, Bonds would finish with 12 home runs while hitting .365.  He had the three home run game in Colorado, plus another two home run game that month.  He’d add 20 RBIs, 28 walks (four intentional) and had 10 strikeouts.  He stole a couple more bases as well bringing his season total to 13.

Fake Bonds had an average of .404 with 10 home runs and 13 RBIs.  He had 22 walks (also four intentional) with eight strikeouts.  With one week left to go, real Bonds sat at 69 home runs, one short of the record, while fake Bonds was sitting on 52, which would still be a career high for real Bonds.

Real Bonds would hit four more homers over the first week of October, hitting .571 with five RBIs.  His record breaking game was a two home run game.  He had 10 walks, with four intentional, and only one strikeout.  His 73 home runs put him firmly at the top of the all time single season record.  He also had 177 walks, with 35 intentional.

Fake Bonds hit even better to the tune of .667.  He would add three home runs and three RBIs.  He had seven walks with two intentional and only one strikeout.  Fake Bonds would finish the season at 55 home runs.  He had 134 walks, with 24 intentional.

Besides saving his body some wear and tear, fake Bonds also hit eight points higher, .336 vs. .328 for real Bonds.  He also had slight leads in slugging % and on base %.  As I alluded to with fake Bonds’ total at the end of September, his final number of 55 still would be a career high.

I like that train of thought.
So let’s pose this question – what if fake Bonds hit 55 home runs instead of 73?  Would he have been the target of so much scrutiny over his habits?  That would have only been a leap of six home runs over his total of 49 a year earlier.  That would show a pretty good model of consistency.  But instead, he had to hit TWENTY FOUR more home runs than he had ever hit.

With those extra plate appearances, real Bonds hit .302, with 18 home runs and 37 RBIs.  He would have 44 walks, with 11 intentional and 24 strikeouts.  So those late game at bats really helped push Bonds over the edge.  Which is kind of puzzling.  You would think it would be the opposite, as he more than likely wouldn’t have been seeing the same pitcher nearly as often.  Maybe he just liked feasting on bullpen pitching.  Except for Todd Van Poppel.  In his career, Bonds was 0-5 with 4 strikeouts vs. Van Poppel.

Well, hopefully you enjoyed this piece on real Barry Bonds vs. fake Barry Bonds.  And before I forget, the answer to the trivia question.  In 1996, Orioles center fielder Brady Anderson swelled up (probably literally) and hit 50 home runs.  His next highest total?  That would be 24 in 1999.  So that’s a difference of 26 home runs.  As I stated a couple of paragraphs above, Bonds hit 49 home runs in 2000, and followed that up with 24 more the next year.

Give me a few days on the next topic.  It will be worth it.  I think it's even going to contain a Venn diagram, so there's something to look forward to.

Friday, March 14, 2014

A Case of the Willies


?????

Today’s comparison is giving me a case of the Willies.  Unlike my first post which compared Fred McGriff to Joe Carter, leading me personally to declare McGriff the better player, to try to figure out the better of today’s subjects is pure folly.  Rather, let’s just sit back and enjoy these two mostly similar players, and what they brought to the table.  Today we focus on Willie Wilson and Willie McGee.


The spark for this idea was surrounding the triple.  One of favorite things to focus on the backs of baseball cards were triples.  I think mainly because of their rarity.  I distinctly remembered in 1989 that Giants second baseman Robby Thompson led the National League in triples.  Apparently I glossed over everything else that Robby Thompson ever did, because when I researched him today, I found that he literally never did anything else.


Well, that’s not really fair.  He did finish a distant second to Todd Worrell in the 1986 Rookie of the Year vote.  He was a 2 time all star, and actually had some MVP votes and won a Gold Glove and Silver Slugger award in 1993.  Holy crap.  He has a career WAR of 33.7.  But he was a second baseman, so positional adjustment I guess.  Anyway, this isn’t about Robby Thompson.


To get an example of how close Willie Wilson and Willie McGee were as players, check this out.  If I add up games played, plate appearances, at bats, runs, hits, doubles, triples, home runs, RBIs, stolen bases, caught stealing, walks, and strikeouts, Wilson has the lead in this mythical stat with 25003.  McGee’s total is 24840.  That’s only a difference of 163 GPAABRH2B3BHRRBISBCSBBSOs over the course of a combined 37 seasons.


Before we get started on each individual player, here are a few facts about both of them:


·         They spent most of their careers at the opposite end of I-70 in Missouri
·         They spent most of their careers on Astroturf
·         They spent most of their careers in center field (Wilson 1357 games, McGee 1351)
·         They both won a World Series


As Wilson is the elder statesman, let’s start with him.
Willie Wilson was drafted by the Kansas City Royals in the first round – 18th overall – in 1974 out of Summit High School in Summit, NJ.  To this date, he’s the Hilltoppers’ only major league player, although they do have three other minor leaguers to their name.  After being drafted, he debuted in the Minors for the Gulf Coast Royals where he batted .252 in 155 at bats with 3 doubles, 5 triples, a home run and 14 RBIs.  He also had 24 stolen bases in 26 attempts.  But with only 10 walks vs. 51 strikeouts leading to a .308 on base %, he wasn’t exactly screaming leadoff hitter.


He’d spend 3 more years in the minors before becoming a full time major leaguer in 1978.  Highlights of those years include 187 stolen bases in 210 attempts and a slightly improving batting average and on base %.  So he was fast, his batting average was, well, average, and he struck out a lot.  He would seem well suited to be transferred to the Royals of the early to mid 90’s rather than the late 70’s.  Stay tuned as we’ll return to the minor leagues here in a little while.


Wilson would make his major league debut on September 4th, 1976 in Kansas City.  The game was a 7-0 victory over the Rangers where Wilson would appear as a defensive replacement in center field for Amos Otis.  As starter Dennis Leonard put the finishing touches on his shutout, he wouldn’t allow the ball to leave the infield as he got two groundouts to short and a pop out to third base to end the game.  Wilson would only appear in 12 games that year, mainly as a pinch runner/defensive replacement.  In those 12 games, he would only get six at bats with one hit and two strikeouts.  His first hit came in an 18-3 loss to the Twins on September 10th.  He stole two bases and was caught once by rookie rifle-armed catcher Butch Wynegar to end the game in a 4-3 loss to the Twins.  Wynegar would go on to finish second in the AL Rookie of the Year voting to Mark “The Bird” Fidrych that year.  Wilson would have to settle for another year in the minors.


Wilson’s second year in the majors was much like the first, but it did feature more playing time.  He was called up on September 9.  He would play in 13 games with 34 at bats, hitting .324 with a couple of doubles, an RBI, a walk and eight strikeouts.  He stole six bases, but was caught three times.  The Royals saw enough of him to make his stay in Kansas City permanent.


The 1978 Royals finished 92-70.  Wilson continued to be a defensive replacement and pinch runner, but he managed to play in 127 games with 198 at bats.  Despite not being a full time player, he stole 46 bases vs. 12 caught stealing.  His 46 steals were good for fifth place in the AL.  His batting average was only .217 though, and with his penchant for not-walking, his on base % sat at .280.  The Royals would be dismissed from the playoffs by eventual champion New York Yankees.


1979 let the world show what Willie Wilson could do with regular playing time.  Inserted into left field he played 154 games and had 588 at bats with a .315 average.  He had 185 hits including 18 doubles, 13 triples, 6 home runs, 49 RBIs and 113 runs scored.  He also stole a league leading 83 bases vs. 12 caught stealing.  His on base % climbed to .351.  He would finish in 17th place in MVP voting.  Willie Wilson had arrived.


1980 was arguable Wilson’s best season.  For the World Series-bound Royals, he had 705 at bats, 230 hits, 133 runs and 15 triples.  All of those stats led the league.  He also had 79 stolen bases and 10 caught stealing, trailing only some cat named Rickey Henderson who would steal exactly 100 bases.  He hit .326 with a .357 on base %.  He would finish fourth in the MVP race and won a Gold Glove and Silver Slugger award.

As much as you probably now like Willie Wilson, I’m guessing you don’t want to read another 14 paragraphs on him, so let’s combine some seasons for fun.
That's not Wilson,
and that's not cocaine. But he
very well may be in Ft. Worth.

The next four years would show more of the same from Wilson.  Well, except for that whole conviction for attempting to purchase cocaine in November of ’83.  He served 81 days in prison, and was supposed have been suspended for the entire 1984 season, but it was reduced and he returned to the lineup on May 15, 1984.  Other than that, in those four years, he would hit .303 with a .342 on base %, 75 doubles, 39 triples, 8 home runs and 155 RBIs.  He would steal 177 bases vs. 32 caught stealing.  In 1982, he’d lead the league with 15 triples and a .332 batting average on his way to a 15th place finish in the MVP race and adding a Silver Slugger award.  He would make the All Star team in ’82 and ’83, and finish 10th in the MVP race in ’84.


Despite a short stay on the DL in early September, Wilson had another pretty decent season for the 1985 World Champion* Royals.  His average declined a little to .278 and on base % fell to .318, but he still stole 43 bases vs. 11 caught stealing and hit 21 triples to lead the league.  That total was matched by the Mets’ Lance Johnson in 1996, but other than that, you would have to go back to 1949 when the Indians’ left fielder Dale Mitchell hit 23.


His final five seasons in Kansas City saw his batting average decline further, but he was still a stolen base threat.  He hit .270 with a .312 on base %, 85 doubles and 43 triples, including league leading totals of 15 in ’87 and 11 in ’88.  He added 19 home runs and 196 RBIs in addition to 176 stolen bases vs. 38 caught stealing.


In 1991 and 1992, Wilson found himself in Oakland.  By this point, Wilson was in full on decline phase.  In his two years, there, he hit .257 with a .313 on base %, 29 doubles, 9 triples and no home runs.  He tacked on 65 RBIs and 48 stolen bases vs. 13 caught stealing.  His last appearance in an A’s uniform would be in an ALCS game 6 loss to the Toronto Blue Jays where he went 1-4 with three strikeouts and a stolen base.

1993 saw him switch leagues, signing with the Chicago Cubs.  By this time though, he was nothing more than a part time player.  He played in 105 games but only had 221 at bats, hitting .258 with a .301 on base %, 11 doubles, three triples, a home run and 11 RBIs.  He added seven stolen bases vs. two caught stealing.
1994 was the end of the line for Wilson.  He only hit .238 with a .273 on base %, no doubles, two triples, and no home runs or RBIs.  His final stolen base was on April 9th vs. the Montreal Expos where he victimized Darrin Fletcher as a pinch runner in the 9th inning.
Seeing how Fletcher only threw out 24% of runners in his career, Wilson likely could have carved out a niche continuing to steal off of Fletcher, but the Cubs didn’t have that vision.  The Cubs released him on May 16th.  Who was manning center field the next day for the Cubbies?  Cubs Opening Day F#*$ING LEGEND Karl “Tuffy” Rhodes.


Hey, remember when I said we’d come back to Wilson’s minor league career?  In 2009, at the age of 53 and 15 years after playing in his last major league game, Wilson signed a one day contract with the independent minor league Kansas City T-bones.  In that game, he went 0-1 with a strikeout.  The only way to make it more Willie Wilson would have been for him to have hit a triple, a single, and stole a base.  But then his batting average would have been too high.


Intermission sponsored by Mark Reynolds


Well, that’s 19 seasons of Willie Wilson, so Mark Reynolds thinks everyone needs a break.  Wilson’s 1985 Royals were World Series champions* thanks in large part to Don Denkinger’s worst sports call ever.  Mark Reynolds knows it was a bad call…because he was there.


Thanks Mark!  Let’s get on with it now.

On the other side of the state for most of the 1980’s, Willie McGee was starring in St. Louis’ original Greatest Show on Turf.


Willie McGee was originally drafted by the Chicago White Sox in the seventh round of the 1976 draft, but he did not sign.  Fast forward a few months, and he was drafted by the New York Yankees in the first round – 15th overall pick – in the January Secondary draft of 1977 out of Diablo Valley College in Pleasant Hill, CA.  The Vikings have produced seven major leaguers.  Other than McGee, the most notable would be recent perennial 4/5 starter Doug Davis.


McGee’s 1977 minor league season in the minors wasn’t spectacular.  Deployed to Oneonta in the New York-Pennsylvania league, he batted only .236 with a .281 on base %, four doubles, three triples, two home runs and 22 RBIs.  He stole 13 bases vs. four caught stealing.


McGee would steadily improve over the next four years in the minors.  He would hit .285 with a .338 on base %, 41 doubles, 20 triples, 10 home runs and 148 RBIs.  He would add 79 stolen bases vs. 28 caught stealing.  Alas, the Yankees didn’t end up being in the stars, or the cards even, for McGee, as he was traded at the end of the 1981 season for Bob Sykes to the St. Louis Cardinals.


1982 opened with McGee playing at AAA Louisville, but that didn’t last long.  He was called up and made his major league debut on May 10th in a 3-1 loss to the Cincinnati Reds.  He came in as a defensive replacement for left fielder Dane Iorg in the top of the 8th.   He would go 0-1 with a strikeout vs. the Reds’ Joe Price.  McGee’s first hit would come three days later in a 10-9 win over Joe Torre’s Atlanta Braves.  McGee would pinch hit in the top of the 5th for left fielder Tito Landrum and immediately proceed to knock in Keith Hernandez.  Later that inning, he would be thrown out at home by Claudell Washington.


Things ended up better for McGee that year though.  He would bat .296 with a .318 on base % and 12 doubles, eight triples, four home runs and 56 RBIs.  He also stole 24 bases vs. 12 caught stealing.  Oh, and he won a World Series, pretty much winning game three himself by hitting two home runs and knocking in four in the 6-2 win.  He would finish third in the NL Rookie of the Year voting behind the Dodgers’ Steve Sax and the Pirates’ Johnny Ray.  Ryne Sandberg would finish a distant sixth.  In case you were wondering, some of the top eight rookies receiving votes in the AL were winner Cal Ripken Jr., Kent Hrbek, Wade Boggs, Gary Gaetti, Von Hayes and Jesse Barfield.


For the 1983 and 1984 seasons, McGee continued to develop into a solid player.  He would bat .288 with a .319 on base %, 41 doubles, 19 triples, 11 home runs and 125 RBIs.  He would also steal 82 bases vs. 18 caught stealing.  1983 also brought him his first All Star appearance and Gold Glove.


In 1985, McGee went off as he won the MVP award.  He would lead the league with a .353 average, 216 hits and 18 triples, and set career highs in runs with 114, stolen bases with 56 vs. 16 caught stealing and on base % of .384.  He also added 26 doubles, 10 home runs and 82 RBIs.  All of that was good for 8.1 WAR, which is nearly a quarter of his career total of 34.1 WAR over 18 seasons.  Besides the MVP, he also was an All Star and won a Gold Glove and Silver Slugger award.  But none of this mattered as Wilson’s Royals would defeat* the Cardinals in seven games in the World Series.


For the next three years, McGee pretty much fit the mold of the Whiteyball-era Cardinals.  He would hit .279 with a .316 on base %, 83 doubles, 24 triples, 21 home runs, and 203 RBIs – including a career high 105 in 1987.  He had 76 stolen bases with 26 caught stealing.  1986 would bring him another Gold Glove, and ’87 and ’88 featured All Star appearances.  1987 featured another Cardinals World Series loss, this time to the Twins, but McGee hit much better than his other post season appearances.  In 1982, he hit .256, in ’85 it was .264, but in ’87 it was .340.


As McGee turned 30 in 1989, he struggled with injuries throughout the season.  He was limited to six games in April, three games in June, eight games in July, nine games in August, and eleven in September.  His worst season to date by far, he would bat .236 with a .275 on base %, 10 doubles, two triples, three home runs, and 17 RBIs.  He would only steal eight bases vs. six caught stealing.

1990 would see McGee’s first go around with the Cardinals come to an end.  On August 29th, despite leading the league in average, he was traded to the A’s in exchange for Daryl Green, Felix Jose and Stan Royer.  McGee’s final line with the Cardinals included a league leading .335 batting average, a .382 on base %, 32 doubles, five triples, three home runs and 62 RBIs.  He would add 28 stolen bases vs. nine caught stealing.  In a little over a month with the A’s, McGee would hit .274 with a .336 on base %, three doubles, two triples, no home runs and 15 RBIs.  He was also perfect in his three stolen base attempts.  He would be the National League batting champion since he amassed 542 plate appearances, 40 more than the required 502.  In a truly bizarre twist, George Brett led the American League with a .329 average, but neither he nor McGee would win the OVERALL batting title.  McGee’s .274 average in Oakland brought his overall average down to .324.  Hall of Famer Eddie Murray would be the overall champion with a .330 average.


In 1991, McGee would cross the bay to the San Francisco Giants.  In his four years there, as he slid into his mid-30's, he would continue to produce.  He would hit .301 with a .348 on base %, 81 doubles, six triples and 14 home runs with 148 RBIs.  He slowed down a little, stealing only 48 bases vs. 22 caught stealing.  In 1994, he would miss the rest of the season after June 7th after suffering an ankle injury (the season ending strike would end everyone's season early).


In 1995, at age 36, McGee went back to the AL, signing with the Red Sox.  The ankle injury would keep him out until early July of that year, but when he did come back, he would play in 67 games and hit .285 with a .311 on base %, 11 doubles, three triples and two home runs with 15 RBIs.  The ankle injury seemingly would take a toll on his speed the rest of his career, as he only stole five bases with two caught stealing.

From 1996 - 1999, McGee would finish his career where it started in St. Louis.  He played in an average of 124 games, but only averaged 287 at bats those years.  Still, he hit .304 in his first two years with a .308 on base %.  That fell to .252 and a .290 on base % his final two years.  The final four years also included 51 doubles, seven triples, 11 home runs, 133 RBIs and 27 stolen bases vs. 10 caught stealing.  The last hit of his career would come on September 22nd of that year in a 5-3 loss to the Cubs, which would also be the last start of his career.  His last appearance would come nine games later on October 3rd.


Best baseball card ever.
Since I don't want to give the edge to Wilson for getting a minor league at bat at the age of 53, here's a fact about McGee.  He played a total of 15,945 innings.  The majority of those were in the outfield, but he did play 42 innings at first base, because anyone can play first base.  But in 1987, he played one inning at shortstop.  In a 15-5 loss to the Phillies in early August, Ozzie Smith was replaced by Jose Oquendo at shortstop in the bottom of the fifth.  In the bottom of the eighth, the Secret Weapon was needed on the mound, so McGee switched to shortstop.  McGee would turn two ground balls into outs, finishing his career with a perfect 1.000 fielding % at short.  Oquendo would give up a walk, four hits and three runs in his one inning.  I hope Oquendo bought McGee a steak afterwards.  It could have been much worse.


So there you have it.  As I said, you really can't choose which one was better.  Here are their career numbers:



G
AB
R
H
2B
3B
HR
RBI
SB
CS
BB
SO
BA
OBP
Wilson
2154
7731
1169
2207
281
147
41
585
668
134
425
1144
0.285
0.326
McGee
2201
7649
1010
2254
350
94
79
856
352
121
448
1238
0.295
0.333

Similar players, same era, playing 250 miles apart.  There's no tying in baseball, but here, we're pretty close.

Tuesday, March 11, 2014

Closer Wars - 1990 Edition


1998 had a lot of cool things that 1990 just didn’t have.  It had the internet, or a lot more internet that any internet that was around in 1990.  It didn’t have YouTube quite yet, but there was probably some sort of video thing around that would take 3 or 4 hours to download on dial up.  And it had Semisonic and their song “Closing Time”.  Had all of that been around eight years earlier, you could have very easily put together a video montage of the epic battle to be the best American League closer of 1990.

Dennis Eckersley is a fairly well known baseball player.  I’m guessing if you went around asking random people who Dennis Eckersley was, you’d get a decent response.  Bobby Thigpen is not a well known baseball player.  If you asked about him, you’d probably get responses like “wrestling heel”, “congressman” or “plumber”.  But there was a time when the greatest baseball minds ever assembled, the BBWAA, thought more of Bobby Thigpen than Dennis Eckersley.  And that year was 1990.

I don’t think that anyone is going to argue that Bobby Thigpen was better than Dennis Eckersley, not even Bobby Thigpen’s mother.  But in Cy Young Award voting in 1990, he received 20 votes – even 2 first place – versus Eckersley’s 2 votes.  Let’s delve into why, apparently, Thigpen was 10 times better than Eckersley that year.

Before we begin, perhaps it would be best to take a look at the Cy Young Award voting that year.  One reason why Eckersley was so low despite having a very respectable season was the dreaded “split vote”.  As referenced in my previous post, writers love pitchers with 20+ wins.  That year, A’s pitcher Bob Welch went 27-6, and that pretty much settled that.  It was the most wins since Steve Carlton won 27 in 1972, and those are the closest seasons to the 30 win mark since it was last accomplished by Denny McLain’s 31 in 1968.

Roger Clemens was second in voting going 21-6, but since he was on the juice, and doesn’t fit this article anywhere, we’re just going to leave him be.

Third place was occupied by A’s pitcher Dave Stewart.  He went 22-11, putting the finishing touches on his fourth straight campaign with 20 or more wins in which he had 41 complete games.  That left Eckersley in fifth place in the voting.  One spot behind Bobby Thigpen.

Welch and Stewart took care of business for the most part for the A’s in 1990 as they went on their way to getting swept by the Cincinnati Reds in the World Series.  That team won 103 games, and Eckersley saved 48 of them.  After all, someone had to bail out Scott Sanderson, Mike Moore and Curt Young.  Remember, this was a couple of years before can’t miss, all world prospect Todd Van Poppel would come along.  But I’m getting ahead of myself.

Let’s look at the stats of these epic closers of 1990.


W-L
G
IP
BB
K
H
R
ER
HR
ERA
ERA+
WHIP
SO/ BB
SV
Thigpen
4-6
77
88.2
32
70
60
20
18
5
1.83
211
1.038
2.19
57
Eckersley
4-2
63
73.1
4
73
41
9
5
2
0.61
603
0.614
18.25
48

In looking at these numbers, there’s no real comparison here.  Eckersley was clearly the superior player.  Oh, but he didn’t have as many saves.  And Thigpen didn’t just have more saves than Eckersley.  He had more saves in a season than anyone else ever had, eclipsing Dave Righetti’s former record of 46 set in 1986.  To this day, it still stands as the second most ever, only passed by Francisco Rodriguez with 62 in 2008.

So who was this Thigpen character we’ve been talking about?  Let’s get to know him.

'87 in Memphis was
a CRAZY time.
Thigpen was drafted by the White Sox in the fourth round in 1985 out of Mississippi State University.  Hmm.  Something in the back of my mind said to look into that a little more.  Ah, there it is.  You may have heard of some of his teammates at Mississippi State that were also drafted that year.  A guy named Will Clark and Rafael Palmeiro.  Maybe even Jeff Brantley.  But probably not Michael Thiesen, Dan Van Cleve or Gene Morgan.

In his first year in the minors, he was pretty decent.  He had 9 saves and 1.72 ERA.  Then the White Sox tried him out as a starter in 1986.  That went about as well as you think that it would.  He ended up 8-11 with a 4.68 ERA, and had 54 walks to 90 strikeouts in almost 160 innings pitched.  The White Sox were on their way to finishing 72-90 though, so they figured they’d go ahead and call him up.  Some fellow named Bob James, if that is his real name, is listed as the “closer” for that year.  He had 14 saves and a 5.25 ERA.  It looks as if “Bob James” must have had an injury late that season, whether real or created, as he only had one appearance after August 4th.

The other options the Sox had that year weren’t all that great either.  Better than “James”, but apparently not better than an untested rookie.  Thigpen debuted on August 6th that year and went on to save seven games between August 17th and September 17th.  He also blew the last four save attempts he had on that season, but even with that, his ERA was only 1.77.

In 1987, he started the year in Chicago, but had a stint from late May through mid July in AAA Hawaii.  The White Sox apparently wanted to double check he wasn’t a starter.  In 9 games, all starts, he was 2-3 with a 6.15 ERA (although he did throw 2 complete games and a shutout).  Although he was officially listed as the closer that year, leading the team with 16 saves, he was more of a multiple innings guy than a true closer.  In his 51 games, he only was called upon to pitch an inning or less 14 times.  In those 51 games, he threw 89 innings.

From 1988 through most of 1992, Thigpen had officially cemented his role as the closer.  He would save 34 games apiece in 1988 and 1989, although watching him in these save attempts must have been fun, at least if you were a fan of the opponent.  His ERAs those years were 3.30 and 3.76.  His WHIPs those years were 1.29 and 1.43, and his combined win-loss record was 7-14.  1988 saw 33 walks vs. 62 strikeouts in 90 innings.  1989 saw it narrow to 40 walks vs. 47 strikeouts 79 innings…with 10 home runs allowed.

But then 1990 came along.  “Bob James” was out of baseball.  So Thigpen was once again the man.

Nothing that happened in April that year indicated that Thigpen was about to set an all time record.  He finished that month 1-1 with a 2.53 ERA and five saves vs. one blown save.  His WHIP that month was 0.882 though, and the only runs that he gave up on the month came from a walk and two home runs on April 24th.

In May, as the weather warmed up, so did he.  He notched 11 saves that month vs. two blown saves.  He went 1-1 with a 1.80 ERA and 0.833 WHIP.  Six of those saves came between May 21st and May 30th.

June was another pretty good month.  He saved another 10 games with only one blown save.  He went 1-0 with a 1.42 ERA, but a WHIP of 1.21.  Still, up to this point in the season, he had only given up three home runs, and had 33 strikeouts to 15 walks.

July wasn’t kind to Bobby Thigpen.  He only had six saves vs. one blown save.  He went 1-2 with an ERA of 2.57 and WHIP of 1.544.  With only two months to go in the season, he had 32 saves.

Then came August, specifically August 2nd.  On that day, Thigpen saved both games of a double header, which would kick off a month in which he would have 13 saves vs. two blown saves.  He would go 0-2 with a 2.65 ERA and WHIP of 1.152.  In 16 games, he threw 17 innings and had 15 strikeouts vs. five walks.  He was now sitting within one save of the all time record.

That record would be tied on the first day of September.  He would save another 12 games vs. only one blown save, which was actually the second to last game of the season.  He was mostly lights out that month with a 0.56 ERA and a WHIP of 1.00.  However, the White Sox would finish with an excellent 94-68 record that year, which was not really anywhere close to Oakland.  You see kids, back in those days, we only had two teams from each league make the playoffs.

1991 was a lot more 1988/1989 than 1990 for Thigpen.  He would save 30 games with a 3.49 ERA with a 1.45 WHIP with 47 strikeouts vs. 38 walks in 69 2/3 innings and 10 home runs allowed.

1992 started off as classic Thigpen.  Through July 1st, he was 0-2 with 19 saves, which would put him right on pace for his 5th straight season of 30 or more saves.  He had only given up one home run too.  His ERA stood at 2.78, although his WHIP was sky-high at 1.694.

Ahem, that's RISING STAR
Scott Radinsky.
Unfortunately, that’s when the wheels came off.  REALLY came off.  He did already have four blown saves through that point of the season.  He’d get another three before he earned his next save 27 days later.  But by that time, he had already lost the closer role to Scott Radinsky.  The rest of the season, he was mainly used in lower leverage situations.  He would only have four more saves the rest of his career.

1993 marked the end of his tenure in Chicago.  Before being traded to the Phillies, he had one save, one blown save, and one win.  His ERA was now up to 5.71 and WHIP was 1.817.  Though he tried his damnedest, he wasn’t able to derail the ’93 Phillies run to the World Series.  He did go 3-1, but had no saves and a 6.05 ERA with a 1.655 WHIP.  He did pitch non-horribly in his only playoff appearances of his career that year.

1994 saw him transition back to the AL, this time with the Seattle Mariners.  After 7 games, an 0-2 record, a 9.39 ERA, a 2.217 WHIP, 7 2/3 innings, 3 home runs allowed, well, you get the idea.  On April 27th Thigpen would give up 3 runs in 2 1/3 innings to the Yankees.  Despite not being the worst pitcher for the Mariners that day (that honor would go to starter Dave Fleming who would give up 5 runs in 2 2/3 innings), that was the last game that Thigpen would ever pitch.  At age 30, he was done.

Thigpen would end his career with 201 saves.  At the end of the 1994 season, that would have placed him 15th all time.  Since the closer position was just becoming specialized, ironically in large part through Tony LaRussa’s innovation with Eckersley, that now ranks 44th all time.

IT BOGGLES THE MIND

Whoa.  It boggles the mind!  What if…what if, instead of firing Tony LaRussa in early 1986, the White Sox kept him as manager, and he then honed his closer-usage skills on…Bobby Thigpen?  Now, back to the blog.

So now we know about Bobby Thigpen.  What about this Eckersley character?

Before Dennis Eckersley was an excellent closer, he was a pretty good starter.  He was drafted in the third round in 1972 by the Cleveland Indians out of Washington Union HS in Fremont, CA.  To this date, he is the Huskies’ only Major League player ever.

After toiling in the minors for three seasons, he was brought up for the 1975 season.  That year, he went 13-7 with a 2.60 ERA in 34 games, 24 which were starts.  He threw six complete games and had two shutouts.  He also picked up the first two saves of his career that year.  Those are pretty decent numbers, especially for a rookie.  That year, he got no love from the Rookie of the Year voters.  Most baseball fans know that 1975 was the year that Fred Lynn went off to the tune of 7.3 WAR.  He received 23.5 out of 24 first place votes.  The other half went to teammate Jim Rice.  The dreaded split vote rears its ugly head again!  For good measure, Lynn won the MVP award as well.

The following season, Eckersley had another pretty decent season, going 13-12 with a 3.43 ERA in 36 games, 30 of which were starts.  This included nine complete games and three shutouts.  He also threw in another save for good measure.  He had exactly 200 strikeouts that year, the only year he’d break that mark in his career.

Man, we’ve got a LONG way to go to get to 1990, so I’m going to just give a couple of summaries here.


He would have one more season in Cleveland where he would make the All Star team before being traded to the Boston Red Sox just days before the season started in March 1978.  His first year in Boston saw him finish fourth in the Cy Young Award voting.  He’d follow that up with a seventh place finish in 1979.  

The rest of his years in Boston saw him hover around the .500 mark, going 43-48 overall with a not-great-for-the-era ERA of 4.43.  On May 25, 1984 he was traded with Mike Brumley to the Chicago Cubs for…Bill Buckner.

While Buckner would go on to receive death threats, Eckersley had pretty much his typical years in Chicago.  He went 27-26 for the Cubs, with a 3.63 ERA.  Whether he knew it or not though, his days as a starter were almost done.  Again, days before the season started, this time on April 3, 1987, he was traded to the A’s with Dan Rohn for Brian Guinn, Dave Wilder and Mark Leonette.

When Eckersley arrived in Oakland, it’s almost like they had no idea what to do with him.  His first six games that season were out of the bullpen, where he had one save, one blown save, and two holds.  His next two games were also out of the bullpen, but he pitched 6 innings in one game and 4 1/3 in the other, earning wins in both games.  On May 6th, he would make his first start of the season, getting a loss to the Red Sox.  Let’s send him back to the bullpen!

He would throw six more games out of the bullpen before making the start on May 31st, which would be his last start of the season, and career.  He’d make 4 more appearances out of the bullpen before becoming the (maybe?) closer.  He picked up a couple of saves in June, four more in July and August, and finished with five more in September to finish the season with 16 saves.

Once the A’s looked at his overall numbers, they may have realized what they had.  He finished the 1987 campaign with only a 6-8 record, but his ERA was 3.03, his WHIP was 1.003, and he had 17 walks vs. 113 strikeouts.

1988 saw Eckersley transform into full blown kick ass, take names closer.  He even flirted with history himself that year, falling just short of the saves record with 45.  He wasn’t quite untouchable, as he did blow eight saves that year, but he was still good enough to finish second to 24 game winner Frank Viola.  He pitched in 60 games that year, throwing 72 2/3 innings with a 2.35 ERA and 0.867 WHIP.  He only gave up five home runs that year, with 11 walks vs. 70 strikeouts.  He also made the All Star team for the third time in his career and finished fifth in the MVP race.  But Kirk Gibson cared about none of this, and decided to make his home run the most remembered thing about Eckersley in 1988.

1989 saw him continue his newfound dominance.  While he did have a DL stint for most of June and early July, he still finished with 33 saves and an ERA of 1.56 to go along with a WHIP of 0.607.  In 51 games, he threw 57 2/3 innings.  He gave up five home runs, only walked THREE batters and struck out 55.  That was good for a BB/K ratio of 18.33.  While he didn’t make the All Star team, mainly due to the DL stint, he finished sixth in the Cy Young voting and had another fifth place finish in the MVP race.

And now, what you’ve all been waiting for, Dennis Eckersley’s 1990 season.  In 1990, Eckersley broke Dave Righetti’s all time saves record of 46.  But because of the before mentioned Thigpen, his total was still only good for second all time.  He would only blow two saves the entire season, and one of those was in a game where he gave up four runs, none of which were earned.

April of 1990 was about as perfect as you can get for Eckersley.  In eight games, he finished the month with a 1-0 record and seven saves.  He had an ERA of 0.00 and WHIP of 0.500.  He had no walks and nine strikeouts in 10 innings pitched.

May of 1990 was more of the same.  In ten games, he was 1-0 with eight saves.  His ERA that month was 0.77 after giving up one run in 11 2/3 innings.  His WHIP was 0.600.  Again, he had no walks and 15 strikeouts.  At this point, he was one save behind Thigpen’s pace.

June of 1990, well, at this point we’re a broken record.  He was 0-1 with nine saves.  His ERA that month was again 0.77.  In 11 games, he threw 11 2/3 innings and had a WHIP of 0.857.  Of all of his walks he had on the season, half came in June.  He had TWO.  He added another eight strikeouts.

July was the worst month of the season for Eckersley.  He was 0-1 with eight saves and gave up two earned runs in ten games and 11 innings pitched.  His ERA was 1.64 and his WHIP was 0.273.  He had one walk vs. 12 strikeouts.  And that was his worst month.

August of 1990 saw him return to form.  He was 1-0 with eight saves.  His ERA was 0.64 with a WHIP of 0.571.  He threw 14 innings in 11 games, and didn’t have a walk vs. 13 strikeouts.  At this point, he was six saves off of Thigpen’s pace.

As the A’s wrapped up their division championship in September of 1990, Eckersley showed no sign of slowing down.  He was 1-0 with eight saves.  He had and ERA of 0.00 and WHIP of 0.667.  He had one walk vs. 16 strikeouts.

Of his four walks on the season, one of them was intentional.  If he didn’t have that one, his BB/K ratio would have been 24.33.  Instead, it was just 18.25.  1990 was the first of three straight All Star appearances.  As mentioned before, he was fifth in the Cy Young voting, and sixth in the MVP race.  Since he didn’t pitch enough innings, he couldn’t qualify for any sort of record season with his 603 ERA+, which takes into account a player’s ERA vs. the league and adjusted for ballpark considerations.  Just to let you know, the all time single season record for ERA+ was 293 set by Tim Keefe in 1880.  Second place?  Previous blog focus Pedro Martinez with 291 in 2000.

YOUR NAME IS NOT JACK BROWN
The next two years in Oakland saw continued dominance for the most part from Eckersley.  He went 12-5 with a 2.42 ERA and 0.910 WHIP.  He had 94 saves in 136 games and 156 innings.  He had 20 walks (nine intentional) vs. 180 strikeouts.  He somehow won the Cy Young Award in 1992 despite not winning 20 games like second place finisher Jack McDowell, 21 games like fifth place finisher Jack Morris, and 21 games like sixth place finisher Jack Brown.  Oh wait, Johnny Cash said his name is not Jack Brown.  It’s KEVIN Brown.

His last three years in Oakland saw age catching up with Eck.  He was still a workhorse at the back end of the pen throwing 161 2/3 innings in 161 games, but he had a 4.40 ERA and 1.274 WHIP.  He had 84 saves and walked 37 vs. 167 strikeouts.

The next two years saw him change leagues, joining the not-quite-ready for primetime St. Louis Cardinals.  In his tenure there, he went 1-11 with a 3.58 ERA and 1.133 WHIP.  In 113 innings over 120 games, he walked 14 and struck out 94.

For his farewell tour season in 1998, Eckersley returned to Boston.  He had a horrible April, giving up 11 runs in 8 innings for an ERA of 12.38, but from May 1st on, it was only 2.84.  He would earn the final save of his career on May 15th.  He made his final appearance on October 2nd in a playoff game against the Indians, entering in the 9th inning and giving up a run making the score 4-1.  The Red Sox scored two runs in the bottom of the 9th but fell just short, losing 4-3.

Eckersley would go on to be elected into the Hall of Fame the first year he was on the ballot in 2004.  He would finish his career with a 197-171 mark, and even 100 complete games with 20 shutouts, 390 saves and 2401 strikeouts vs. just 738 walks.


So there you have it.  1990 was an all out assault on the major league saves record.  Of the top two save totals each year, Thigpen and Eckersley’s combined save total of 105 still ranks third all time.  Francisco Rodriguez (62) and Jose Valverde (44) combined for 108 in 2008, and John Smoltz (55) and Eric Gagne (52) combined for 107 in 2002.  While the greatest memory I’ll have of Eckersley is Gibson’s home run, when I think of Thigpen, I’ll always think of 57.  So you have that going for you, Bobby.